#Estimate

THREADWhat will happen to global fossil CO₂ emissions in 2020?Daily global fossil CO₂ emissions decreased by –17% (–11% to –25%) by early April 2020 compared to 2019.For January–April emissions fell
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There's been a lot of discussion about "excess mortality", which I've mentioned previously. A short thread about some limitations.https://twitter.com/peripatetical/status/1253115315677888514 This method has been traditionally used f
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Read this thread first. It'll blow your mind. No spoilers. I'll respond as a reply to this tweet.https://twitter.com/johncarlosbaez/status/1298274201682325509 The issue is Stein's paradox. I will always think about this as
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How much of your USD deposits are left? We tried to estimate. For simplicity, we took a “snapshot” of the gap between total customer deposits (USD-only) and sources of USD
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I want to deal with a little bit of nonsense the Irish anti-lockdown conspiracy theorists are spreading, pertaining to this document, which is a recent report on the epidemiology of
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As promised last week, here is a thread to explore and explain some beliefs about interim analyses and efficacy stopping in randomized controlled trials. Brief explanation of motivation for this
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(1) Another look at the Florida #COVID19 Deaths Backlog:Florida reports deaths along with the actual day of the death recorded on the deceased's death certificate.Death Counts are nearly complete through
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Hey guys. After thinking for awhile and considering a lot of things, I wanted to bring light to and address something I did. [Thread] I do not have an exact
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Sign-up links for the Santa Clara covid19 study were shared through social media and used multiple times by people who had symptoms and wanted a test. The authors think they
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The @latimes "expects to lose MORE THAN HALF OF ITS ADVERTISING REVENUE in the coming months."If that's an accurate estimate of the level of bleeding, a lot of newspapers are
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We have new mortality data for the US. What it shows is very interesting. To start with, here's the raw data. Note the little bump in the last week with
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Update: Sadly, UK excess deaths are rising again after a summer of stability. Since mid-March, a cautious estimate of the number of UK excess deaths linked to coronavirus has risen
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Free to read: FT analysis by @ChrisGiles_ suggests UK’s coronavirus death toll could be as high as 41,000https://www.ft.com/content/67e6a4ee-3d05-43bc-ba03-e239799fa6ab?segmentid=acee4131-99c2-09d3-a635-873e61754ec6 See this excellent thread for the
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1/An updated look at what’s happening with Sweden’s approach, starting with below from 2 days ago.Ambassador @OlofsdotterK had predicted late April that Stockholm could reach herd immunity sometime in May.
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Sunrise, sunset, the umpteenth day, more data.The curve in America continues to be flattened. COVID tracker extended their time series backwards a bit, which is nice, as it lets us
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Earlier this month, @California_HCD posted a little-noticed memo that massively increases the amount of "zoned capacity" for new housing that local governments must provide. This thread explains it. 1/nhttps://www.hcd.ca.gov/commu
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