A Marm Kilpatrick, Discover and Read the Best of Twitter Threads by @DiseaseEcology

A Marm Kilpatrick

DiseaseEcology

What is the actual likelihood of aerosol transmission?This is a much-discussed question with huge consequences.A fantastic new paper has actual data to address the question by monitoring infection in nurses

Current evidence on immunity for #COVID19.My *non-expert* overview(replying to comment by @taaltree & would love help/comments from actual immunity expert: @florian_krammer or others)Threadhttps://twitter.com/taaltree/status/12832338636

What business sectors can be open without leading to runaway #COVID19 epidemics?(CA closed back down a huge sector of businesses today)A tough question with a huge lack of data, some

What fraction of populations are exposed in huge #COVID19 epidemics & what drives transmission & exposure?Serosurvey from Spain finally published!Tons of major findings here & I haven't seen a detailed

What max group size is needed to stop superspreading events (SSEs) & control COVID19?It's now well known that SSEs play key role in #COVID19. Big Q: how do interventions reduce

What is #herdimmunity threshold for #COVID19?A topic of much discussion due to large uncertainty & huge consequences for long term impact. New paper illustrates 1 key aspect that can reduce

This thread about #COVID19 path of CA is interesting and makes some good points but misses biggest issue that will turn out to be key to national downfall for #COVID19

Misleading paper is being promoted as showing that transmission in schools is unlikely and children are less susceptible to #COVID19. Data presented show opposite - equal attack rate in all

Is re-instituting lockdowns necessary to stop rapidly rising #COVID19 cases globally?Answer: No. But we're failing at 2 other approaches, due to poor messaging, human behavior & limited public health capacity.Deaths

This article was just published on how far we are from herd immunity for COVID-19. Although the title is definitely correct, the article has a surprising number of important issues

Relatively strong claims are being made about transmission based on absence of evidence from contact tracing (CT) (e.g. CDC saying spreading from surfaces unlikely; little outdoor transmission; children rarely spread

This is a very provocative paper, but it's missing several key details. 1) We still have no idea how many virions are needed to lead to infection. Thus, even if