#Prediction

Mark B. Spiegel

markbspiegel

1) Here's why I think the S&P 500 will revisit the March low. (Note: this prediction is worth exactly what I'm charging for it!)The 2020 S&P GAAP estimate is currently

mimi 🍅 proj/ga under 📍

jooheonybun

Monbebe contradicting themselves: a thread 1) stating you’re anti bullying after what Wonho went through.the contradiction: bullying everyone in the fandom who disagrees or has a different opinion, mindset or

Hernan Bruno

HernanBruno1975

A claim that has been repeated since Bitcoin and Blockchain became a thing in 2013/4 was that even though there are no applications or business models emanating from them, we

Pradheep J. Shanker

Neoavatara

Regarding the accuracy of COVID19 models...1. I guarantee you they will be 'wrong'. Every prediction by a model made in February has been changed by our behavior. It is somewhat

Ahmad Masri

MasriAhmadMD

These are the #HCM sessions and abstracts (original research) I am looking forward to @ #ACC21 - add the ones I missed First - an important analysis from the EXPLORER-HCM

David Spiegelhalter

d_spiegel

On Monday April 6th, IHME predicted 66,314 deaths in the UK, with a maximum of 2,932 deaths on April 17th. This got a mass of coverage. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/07/uk-will-be-europes-worst-hit-by-coronavirus-study-predicts Just thre

DawgStats

Dawg_Stats

Ok, I am not going to promote the CFBSavage guy and his hot take, but let me take a crack at some push back on his prediction. Let's rank the

Alex Berenson

AlexBerenson

1/And new from @USC @lapublichealth: An antibody study showing 4% of LA has been infected. With a clear explanation:"Infections from the new coronavirus are far more widespread - and the

Maxwell Ramstead

mjdramstead

A thread to comment on @danwilliamsphil’s preprint “Is the brain an organ for prediction error minimization?” The preprint available here: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/18047/ Many sincere thanks to Dan for the pleasant and

James Foster

JamesEFoster

You can see how desperate Labour are for the “sleaze” narrative to set in.Sadly, I don’t think it will.This government is rotten to the core but few who own the

Pedro L. Gonzalez

emeriticus

Prediction: If Trump wins, the administration will soften on immigration, with the possibility of amnesty. They are completely misreading Latino support for the president. Trump might have the right instincts,

(((Charles Fishman)))

cfishman

US Coronavirus Update, Thursday, April 9, 2020~ Lethal, even as progress continuesFatalities First• Total US covid-19 deaths as of Thu, April 9: 16,672• Increase in the last 24 hours: 1,904

David Chapman

davidchapman141

Thread on my election prediction:My prediction is based solely on history and historical trends.The biggest issue in the campaign is Covid-19.There has been 11 Incumbents to face a pandemic during

sabrina 🌙

AperionM

Let’s talk about people who say that tarot isn’t real because it’s all about psychology and analyzing people for a hot second. Anyone who has studied tarot can tell you

Carlos Efe Pardo

carlosfpardo

Ok here we go in English: 916 answers, non-representative sample. Bogotá. Data collected with @muvobike . This is actual mode before measures, predicted mode post-emergency. 1/x. Same graph but this

Alex Ford

apf102

The proposal for grading student exams this summer is deeply, deeply problematic. It prioritises the continuity of the exam grading system over fairness to students in a time of significant